Nvidia, the renowned graphics processing unit (GPU) and AI chip company, announced its extraordinary performance in the third fiscal quarter of fiscal 2024. Defying Wall Street’s predictions, the company achieved record Q3 revenue of $18.2 billion, marking an impressive 206% YoY growth and a 34% sequential increase. The data center segment, which represents a staggering 79% of total revenue for Q3, spearheaded Nvidia’s triumph with an astounding 279% annual growth and a 41% quarterly surge, amounting to $14.51 billion.

Unleashing the Power of Generative AI

The remarkable success of Nvidia can be attributed to the pivotal industry shift from general-purpose to accelerated computing and generative AI. As large language model startups, consumer internet companies, and global cloud service providers became early adopters, the next wave of this transformation started taking shape. Nations, regional cloud service providers, and enterprise software companies are investing in AI to cater to local demands. The integration of AI copilots and assistants into platforms, as well as the creation of custom AI to automate major industries, further indicates the widespread adoption of these transformative technologies.

Driving Forces Behind Nvidia’s Success

Nvidia’s GPUs, CPUs, networking solutions, AI foundry services, and Nvidia AI Enterprise software play crucial roles in fueling the company’s growth. These components collectively propel the era of generative AI to new heights. This rapid advancement in technology is exemplified by the fact that Nvidia, which originated as a startup in a humble Denny’s restaurant in San Jose, California, has now reached a market value of $1.23 trillion.

Projected Revenues and Prospects for the Future

Analysts had estimated Nvidia’s revenue for the October quarter to be $16.18 billion, with earnings per share of $3.37. However, the company surpassed expectations, leaving its stock price at $495.55 per share, a marginal decrease of less than 1%. Looking ahead, Nvidia forecasts its revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 to be approximately $20 billion, adding an impressive margin of 2%. The projected GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are 74.5% and 75.5% respectively, with a variation of 50 basis points. Furthermore, the company anticipates GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses to be around $3.17 billion and $2.20 billion respectively. Additionally, an income of approximately $200 million (excluding gains and losses from non-affiliated investments) is anticipated as GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense.

Navigating Regulatory Challenges and Uncertainty

The recent announcement by the U.S. government regarding restrictions on the sale of high-end computing devices, such as Nvidia’s Hopper chips, to China poses significant challenges to the company. It is expected that sales in China will face a substantial decline in Q4. However, Nvidia remains optimistic, foreseeing a compensatory growth in other regions. To address the regulatory concerns in China and the Middle East, Nvidia is actively working to provide solutions that comply with government regulations, although the process may span over several quarters. Given that China constitutes 20% to 25% of Nvidia’s data center revenue historically, the long-term impact of these restrictions remains uncertain.

Pioneering Innovations: Expanding the Total Available Market

Nvidia’s commitment to innovation is evident from their introduction of the Nvidia HGX H200, equipped with the new Nvidia H200 Tensor Core GPU. Notably, this GPU is the first of its kind to incorporate HBM3e memory. These cutting-edge systems are expected to be available in the market by the second quarter of the upcoming year. Additionally, Nvidia acknowledges the profound impact of generative AI on various industries. By enabling advancements such as text-to-video and text-to-3D capabilities through natural language queries, the software industry stands to benefit significantly. Nvidia recognizes that this industry, which currently holds a value of approximately one trillion dollars, stands to experience continuous growth with the integration of AI copilots.

The gaming division of Nvidia witnessed substantial growth with Q3 revenue amounting to $2.86 billion, experiencing a 15% increase from the previous quarter and an impressive 81% rise YoY. Noteworthy releases during this quarter include DLSS 3.5 Ray Reconstruction, which enhances the quality of ray-traced images, and TensorRT-LLM for Windows, accelerating on-device LLM inference by up to four times. Further expanding its horizons, Nvidia added 56 DLSS games and over 15 Reflex games, totaling more than 475 RTX games. Additionally, the GeForce Now cloud gaming platform boasts a robust library of more than 1,700 games.

The professional visualization division generated $416 million in Q3 revenue, marking a 10% increase from the previous quarter and an outstanding 108% surge compared to the previous year. Nvidia proudly highlighted its collaboration with Mercedes-Benz, utilizing Nvidia Omniverse to create digital twins that assist in planning and operating manufacturing plants. In the automotive sector, revenue for Q3 reached $261 million, witnessing a 3% quarterly and a 4% YoY increase, respectively. Nvidia’s engagement with the government of India to bolster its internal computing infrastructure further demonstrates the company’s commitment to fostering global technological advancements.

As governments worldwide prioritize national investments in computer infrastructure, Nvidia aims to facilitate the establishment of sovereign AI clouds. By enabling every company to build its custom AI models, Nvidia is poised to play an instrumental role in shaping the future of AI technology across multiple industries. With its relentless pursuit of innovation and an unwavering commitment to transformative technologies, Nvidia’s potential for success remains boundless.

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